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Table 3 Risk ratio (RR) of progression according to each biomarker

From: Risk of early progression according to circulating ESR1 mutation, CA-15.3 and cfDNA increases under first-line anti-aromatase treatment in metastatic breast cancer

Marker

Progression

No progression

Total

≤ 3 months

≤ 6 months

Anytime after marker appearance

ESR1 mutation

n (%)

10 (56%)

14 (78%)

18 (100%)

0 (0%)

18 (100%)

 RR (ref = non mut)

4.9 [3.0–8.0]

3.3 [2.4–4.5]

1.9 [1.7–2.0]

 

> 25% CA-15.3 increase

n (%)

12 (60%)

14 (70%)

18 (90%)

2 (10%)

20 (100%)

 RR (ref = no increase)

5.9 [3.8–9.2]

3.4 [2.5–4.8]

2.0 [1.7–2.4]

 

> 100% CA-15.3 increase

n (%)

2 (50%)

2 (50%)

2 (50%)

2 (50%)

4 (100%)

 RR (ref = no increase)

4.0 [1.5–11.0]

2.2 [0.8–5.8]

1.1 [0.4–2.8]

 

> 25% DNA increase

n (%)

14 (18%)

22 (29%)

45 (58%)

32 (42%)

77 (100%)

 RR (ref = no increase)

1.6 [0.8–3.3]

1.1 [0.7–1.7]

0.9 [0.7–1.2]

 

> 100% DNA increase

n (%)

8 (19%)

13 (31%)

20 (48%)

22 (52%)

42 (100%)

 RR (ref = no increase)

1.4 [0.7–2.7]

1.1 [0.6–1.7]

0.8 [0.6–1.2]