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Table 4 Cross-classification of model A risk decilea × model B risk decileb

From: Risk prediction models with incomplete data with application to prediction of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer: prospective data from the Nurses' Health Study

Model B risk decile

 

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Slope

SE

P value

Model A risk decile

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

Cases/py

   
 

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

(Rate)

   

1

41/61,883

13/12,253

0/756

0/20

0/2

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0.471

0.318

0.14

 

(66)

(106)

(0)

(0)

(0)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

   

2

9/12,317

34/42,222

36/17,656

7/2,535

1/187

0/6

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0.593

0.129

<0.001

 

(73)

(81)

(204)

(276)

(535)

(0)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

   

3

0/694

9/17,749

46/34,208

31/18,339

8/3,678

1/241

0/8

0/0

0/0

0/0

0.396

0.126

0.002

 

(0)

(51)

(134)

(169)

(218)

(415)

(0)

(-)

(-)

(-)

   

4

0/18

1/2,567

18/18,588

42/31,754

43/18,223

13/3,547

1/217

0/6

0/0

0/0

0.48

0.102

<0.001

 

(0)

(39)

(97)

(132)

(236)

(367)

(461)

(0)

(-)

(-)

   

5

0/0

0/132

5/3,477

13/18,417

47/31,547

50/18,268

18/3,010

2/158

0/0

0/0

0.565

0.085

<0.001

 

(-)

(0)

(144)

(71)

(149)

(274)

(598)

(1,000)

(-)

(-)

   

6

0/0

0/2

1/231

3/3,635

21/18,333

50/32,782

54/17,504

13/2,363

0/70

0/0

0.469

0.088

<0.001

 

(-)

(0)

(433)

(83)

(68)

(153)

(309)

(550)

(0)

(-)

   

7

0/0

0/0

0/2

0/210

2/2,922

22/17,752

76/35,260

46/17,428

9/1,351

0/0

0.44

0.099

<0.001

 

(-)

(-)

(0)

(0)

(68)

(124)

(216)

(264)

(666)

(-)

   

8

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/10

0/116

4/2,272

31/17,599

87/35,817

79/16,063

1/339

0.5

0.091

<0.001

 

(-)

(-)

(-)

(0)

(0)

(176)

(176)

(226)

(492)

(295)

   

9

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/52

4/1,326

25/16,137

140/46,314

65/11,093

0.553

0.099

<0.001

 

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(0)

(302)

(155)

(302)

(586)

   

10

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

0/0

1/305

21/11,127

315/63,483

0.841

0.207

<0.001

 

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(-)

(328)

(189)

(496)

   

Overall

          

0.511

0.034

<0.001

  1. aModel A, standard risk prediction model without estradiol. bModel B, standard risk prediction model plus imputed estradiol. py, person-years; SE, standard error.